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The first With only three million more coins to go, it might appear like we are in the final stages of bitcoin mining. This is true but in a limited sense. While it is true that the large majority of bitcoin has already been mined, the timeline is more complicated than that. The bitcoin mining process rewards miners with a chunk of bitcoin upon successful verification of a block.
This process adapts over time. When bitcoin first launched, the reward was 50 bitcoin. In , it halved to 25 bitcoin. In , it halved again to On May 11, , the reward halved again to 6. This effectively lowers Bitcoin's inflation rate in half every four years. The reward will continue to halve every four years until the final bitcoin has been mined.
In actuality, the final bitcoin is unlikely to be mined until around the year However, it's possible the bitcoin network protocol will be changed between now and then. The bitcoin mining process provides bitcoin rewards to miners, but the reward size is decreased periodically to control the circulation of new tokens. It may seem that the group of individuals most directly affected by the limit of the bitcoin supply will be the bitcoin miners themselves.
Some detractors of the protocol claim that miners will be forced away from the block rewards they receive for their work once the bitcoin supply has reached 21 million in circulation. But even when the last bitcoin has been produced, miners will likely continue to actively and competitively participate and validate new transactions.
The reason is that every bitcoin transaction has a transaction fee attached to it. These fees, while today representing a few hundred dollars per block, could potentially rise to many thousands of dollars per block, especially as the number of transactions on the blockchain grows and as the price of a bitcoin rises. Ultimately, it will function like a closed economy , where transaction fees are assessed much like taxes.
It's worth noting that it is projected to take more than years before the bitcoin network mines its very last token. In actuality, as the year approaches, miners will likely spend years receiving rewards that are actually just tiny portions of the final bitcoin to be mined. The dramatic decrease in reward size may mean that the mining process will shift entirely well before the deadline. It's also important to keep in mind that the bitcoin network itself is likely to change significantly between now and then.
Considering how much has happened to bitcoin in just a decade, new protocols, new methods of recording and processing transactions, and any number of other factors may impact the mining process. Bitcoin Magazine. Your Money. Personal Finance.
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